Saturday, January 20, 2018

This week's results: another win for both trades!

We've reached the expected 91.7% win rate for the NDX trade; it's now 11 for 12.
There was for some reason more volatility this week, so NDX paid $1.75 to $1.80 (i.e. 21.212% to 21.951% on margin). If you (following around 1/2 of the Kelly criterion) risk 30% of your account on the trade, that's over 6% for the week!

The TSLA test trade also worked, returning 57 cents on a $2.50 wide iron condor, so $0.57 / $1.93 = 29.5%! It was looking a little scary end of day Thursday but recovered nicely into the groove on Friday:


We don't have enough data yet to project the Kelly Criterion for this one, but 30% of your account risked would yield 9% for the week!

More next week ...


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