Monday, October 21, 2019

Your $150,000 account: theoretical results since 2017

As regular readers know, I've been working on a project to automate Navigation Trading's trades.

It's not clear to me how large an account it would take to take full advantage of results like this, but I think it's around $50000. So with your $150,000 account we could put you in:
  • 3x the trade size for all of Navigation Trading
  • Short oil and natural gas trades (selling 2 calls vs 1 put in /CL and /NG)
Let's look at both kinds of  results you could have achieved in the recent past:



DateNav ResultsYour Navigation ResultsYour oil/gas results
2017 (Jun-Dec)$9397.01$28191.03$15000
2018$39682.39$119047.17$25000
2019$25000 (projected)$75000 (projected)$25000

At this point, if you're living off the proceeds (plus whatever Social Security or whatever other income you have available), well, wahoo! If you've still been working and have just been letting this money accumulate, then you have the option to scale up and make more money in 2020:


  • Go to 4x the trade size for Navigation
  • Go to 3 calls / 2 puts for /CL and /NG
... and so on from there.

Caveats:
  • PAST PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS. Navigation Trading has done very well the last 3 years, but anything could happen to disrupt their results going forward.
  • The oil/gas "results" are speculative but based on current options prices and the fact that oil and gas have been more expensive than solar electricity since at least 2016.
  • Options and futures trades like this involve extra risk that you should understand before investing. 
With all that being said, if interested, please subscribe!






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