Showing posts with label your $150000 account. Show all posts
Showing posts with label your $150000 account. Show all posts

Monday, October 21, 2019

Your $150,000 account: theoretical results since 2017

As regular readers know, I've been working on a project to automate Navigation Trading's trades.

It's not clear to me how large an account it would take to take full advantage of results like this, but I think it's around $50000. So with your $150,000 account we could put you in:
  • 3x the trade size for all of Navigation Trading
  • Short oil and natural gas trades (selling 2 calls vs 1 put in /CL and /NG)
Let's look at both kinds of  results you could have achieved in the recent past:



DateNav ResultsYour Navigation ResultsYour oil/gas results
2017 (Jun-Dec)$9397.01$28191.03$15000
2018$39682.39$119047.17$25000
2019$25000 (projected)$75000 (projected)$25000

At this point, if you're living off the proceeds (plus whatever Social Security or whatever other income you have available), well, wahoo! If you've still been working and have just been letting this money accumulate, then you have the option to scale up and make more money in 2020:


  • Go to 4x the trade size for Navigation
  • Go to 3 calls / 2 puts for /CL and /NG
... and so on from there.

Caveats:
  • PAST PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS. Navigation Trading has done very well the last 3 years, but anything could happen to disrupt their results going forward.
  • The oil/gas "results" are speculative but based on current options prices and the fact that oil and gas have been more expensive than solar electricity since at least 2016.
  • Options and futures trades like this involve extra risk that you should understand before investing. 
With all that being said, if interested, please subscribe!






Friday, July 26, 2019

Quiet week as market reaches new highs .... more on your $150000 account

The market went up to record highs again this week, but slowly enough in most cases to not mess up the neutral trades I have on.

The one exception is Netflix, which bounced back too strongly from its earnings miss:

My short call strike for NFLX is 335, so I also put on a debit call spread this a.m.:

Long the 330 call and short the 335, for $265 ... meaning that if NFLX is at or above $335 on August 2 when this expires, I make $235.

This covers most of what I can lose on the NFLX Iron Condor I have going, and I can actually do this again the following week if conditions seem favorable (i.e. if NFLX continues up ...)

Now, back your $150000 retirement account ... since you didn't pull the trigger on this immediately you didn't suffer the $5000 (for you $50000!) loss from last week ... instead you'd have had a much smaller loss, as I would have taken 1/2 the risk and diversified over 3 trades:


  • NDX would lose 100% of what was risked, as last week's trade lost about 80% because of its very wide strikes
  • SPX would break even or lose small, maybe 15% of the amount at risk at most
  • RUT does what it's supposed to do: expires worthless for full profit, probably 10% or so
So your loss would have been maybe $7000 .. probably just $6000 for the week because of other profitable trades that week. So you'd have gone from $158000 to $152000.

Once again, this offer is just for one lucky individual willing to try this ... let me know if you're interested and we can get going this week ... or you can wait and watch for a few more weeks, understandably ... More next week!