Friday, August 10, 2018

A mixed week: nearly broke even but AMZN shows why cash-settled indices are better trading vehicles

I was short the 2860 SPX calls for Wednesday expiration, and was so pleased by its late move out of the money I took a screen shot to commemorate:


But AMZN wasn't so cooperative this week:


I was short the 1885 calls, and it looked bad enough on Thursday that it might go to 100% loss, up 30 points from the 1885 level. But it came down nicely and closed just in the money: 1886.30. Since I got $1.79 credit for the spread, that would have yielded a small profit, right?

Wrong! Unlike a cash-settled index (a lesson I learned in TSLA months ago on ThinkOrSwim), you just are on the hook for being short 100 shares of whatever stock you're trading against (per contract!)  ... in this case 1 contract = 100 shares x 1885 or $188500 I'd have to sell short and then buy back at whatever price I could stand. Most brokerages these days will close out the offending short strike before this happens.

So one can't just let it go to expiration and work it out from there as one can with cash-settled indices. I actually closed out the short 1885 calls earlier in the morning when the price had fallen to $1891 or so ... I couldn't see it necessarily falling further from there so just decided to close at that point.

Harrumph. Not as bad as working in one of their "fulfillment centers":



Anyway, with today's down move I got $3.80 credit on the Wednesday-expiring SPX trade, which had yielded only $2.50 last week.

I'm going to wait and see for Monday, but probably will just use SPX for the Monday to Friday trade ... for one thing it's "expiration week" next week meaning that the Fabulous NDX trade is available again so need to leave space for that one.

The trades so far:










































































































ExpirationUnderlyingLong putShort putShort callLong callCredit ReceivedResult
07/16/2018/SPX2680273028102860$3.60Won 100%
07/18/2018/SPX2700275028202870$3.95Won 100%
07/20/2018/SPX2700275028352885$2.40Won 100%
07/20/2018 (a.m.)/NDX7260731074107460$5.99Won 100%
07/25/2018SPX2705275528352885$2.40lost 16% of amount at risk
07/27/2018SPX2695274528252875$3.50Won 100%
07/30/2018SPX2720277028502900$2.60Won 100%
08/01/2018SPX2730278028702920$2.15Won 100%
08/03/2018CMG430450490510$1.01Won 100%
08/03/2018AMZN1692.51722.51887.51917.5$2.60Won 100%
08/06/2018SPX2720277028602910$2.05Won 100%
08/08/2018SPX2740279028602910$2.05Won 100%
08/10/2018RUT1610164017101740$1.53Won 100%
08/10/2018AMZN1737.501767.5018851915$1.79Lost about 30%

That's 12 for 14 winners so far: 85.7% winners.

More next week ...

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