Trump rally reboots ... but can't last forever!

I cashed out the  another trade for a profit this morning: 8.9%. But the "Trump Rally" is hurting results a bit:

If not for the up move of the last few days this trade would've made up to 17% or so.

Also, the short futures segment has suffered under this move ... though the credit received in selling puts has it still just below breakeven. And we get to sell another put every week!

Charts below ... The main trade is now 9 for 12: 75%.

Trade Date	Symbol	Result	Profit/Loss	Comment
02/06/2017	SPY	Lost	-18%
02/13/2017	SPY	Lost	-16%
02/21/2017	SPY	Won	+15.4%
02/27/2017	SPY	Won	+17%
03/06/2017	SPY	Won	+15.3%
03/13/2017	SPY	Won	+12.9%
03/20/2017	TLT	Lost	-1.4%	Dumb!
03/27/2017	SPY	Won	+9.6%
04/03/2017	SPY	Won	+6.6%	18 days long
04/10/2017	SPY	Won	+11.1%	only 14 days!
04/17/2017	SPY	Won	+6.7%
04/25/2017	SPY	Won	+8.9%
05/01/2017	SPY	Open
05/08/2017	SPY	Open
05/15/2017	SPY	Open

Futures:

Trade Date	What	Qty	Credit Received	Net Liq Change Since Start
04/25/2017	/ES Put	-1	$362.50	$0
05/03/2017	/ES Put	-1	$487.50	+$70.00
05/12/2017	/ES Put	-1	$337.50	+$1250.00
05/17/2017	/ES Put	-1	$500.00	+$1250.00
05/26/2017	/ES Put	-1	$262.50	-$100.00

Update on trades: a winner cashed out today!

The Trump Rally has run out of steam:

And this 'straight across with minor wiggles is just what the trade I'm doing needs. Here's the latest set of results:

Trade Date	Result	Profit/Loss
02/06/2017	Lost	-18%
02/13/2017	Lost	-16%
02/21/2017	Won	+15.4%
02/27/2017	Open
03/06/2017	Open
03/13/2017	Open

I'm expecting several in a row now to pay off, and in fact the 2/27 and 3/06 trades are currently showing profits.

So the future's so bright ....

"Trump Rally" finally stalled, but ...

... not before causing another losing test trade:

So the results look like this:

Trade Date	Result	Profit/Loss
02/06/2017	Lost	-18%
02/13/2017	Lost	-16%
02/21/2017	Open
02/27/2017	Open

Our hero, Janet Yellen, just today said directly (or as directly as Fed chairpeople ever say directly): "I AM GOING TO RAISE INTEREST RATES." This should give more of a two-sided (i.e. up AND down) market instead of the market going straight up and messing up our neutral trade.

Thanks, Janet!

Harrumph; first test trade lost but two more in progress

The Trump Rally is hell on a neutral trade like the one I'm testing:

The trade pays off in that broad middle area when the market goes back and forth

in a relatively narrow range, as the graphic above shows. But instead the Trump Rally has been doing more like this:

So the result chart so far is like this (profit/loss is on the amount risked per trade; in this case about $1000, so the loss is $180.)

Trade Date	Result	Profit/Loss
02/06/2017	Lost	-18%
02/13/2017	Open
02/21/2017	Open

What goes up, must come down! This can't last and this sort of trade wins 77% of the time ... meaning we should win 8 in a row here sometime soon ...